In a few days, the last of Pennsylvania’s rate caps for electricity generation will expire. This is the culmination of the state’s electricity deregulation process, which began in the mid-1990s — the days of ascendant Gingrichism and the early Tom Ridge, when laughable nostrums about “competition” in the electricity “market” basked in the rosy dawn of untested crackpottery, before Enron deliberately caused the “rolling blackouts” in the California of actually-existing electricity deregulation in 2000-2001.
Say what you want about Bud George, but when the man is right, he is right. And for a short primer on the electricity deregulation fiasco in Pennsylvania, you can do worse than to read one of his reports. (This report is available on his website, though I have also just housed it on this website.) When the power companies spun off their generation from their transmission and distribution operations, they mostly just created holding companies to own the transmission/distribution and the generation operations. Yet they still hit up the state for the ability to charge customers for their “stranded assets” — that is, their expensive and uneconomical power plants, mostly nuclear. As Senator Lisa Boscola has noted, these total payments are approaching $12 billion, and their parent holding companies used that money to buy up power generation in other states. The utilities achieved prodigious profits during this time, and Wall Street rewarded them with stock value increases well above the Dow Jones average for utilities. There is a graph from the Bud George report which shows the stock prices for some of them compared to this average; I’ve reproduced it here. (Note that the dip in 2008 coincides with the financial crisis that affected the entirety of Wall Street, in every industry.)

Growth in stock value for PA utilities has greatly outpaced the national average since deregulation
In exchange for the ability to collect payments for “stranded assets,” the companies agreed to a series of rate caps. But in the course of the past couple of years, those rate caps have expired, with the last of them — covering the majority of ratepayers in the state — set to expire this coming January 1. What will be the consequence?
The most infamous example in Pennsylvania occurred when rate caps in the Pike County Light & Power Company region expired in 2005. The increase was 129% for generation rates and a 79% increase overall. Rate increases are not going to be that drastic next year for two reasons: (1) the depressed economy has put a damper on demand, and (2) the price of natural gas has fallen precipitously because of the drilling boom in the Marcellus Shale and elsewhere. This means that greater rate increases will be on the agenda when the economy picks up again, and in the meantime it is cold comfort that ratepayers are shielded from especially bad price-gouging only because the economy as a whole is in such poor shape, and because much of the state’s drinking water is under assault from drilling by Texas-based natural gas companies.
Which brings us to an especially gloomy portion of this story. In 1996, deregulation got a boost from some of the establishment environmentalist organizations, who thought they saw an opportunity to promote renewable energy through “market solutions.” The theory of how this was supposed to work goes like this:
Deregulation would allow competition to enter the marketplace for electricity generation. By allowing consumers to shop around for electricity generation companies, the companies would be obliged to keep prices reasonably low through the operation of the good old competitive pricing mechanism. And most promisingly, a market could emerge for eco-friendly power generation companies, where consumers could choose power generated by renewable energy sources.
I may be simplifying this argument, but I am not misrepresenting it. And it is impossible to mince words about this: It is imaginable that self-interested people could promote this argument; in fact, they inevitably will. But it is scarcely believable that anyone could honestly believe it, and at the same time not be smoking crack.
And yet, as a man of experience once said, cocaine is a hell of a drug. Take this breathtakingly disingenuous statement from PennFuture, from a report entitled “Consumers Win: A Decade of Electricity Competition”:
In 1996, Pennsylvania’s electric rates were 15 percent higher than the national average. Now thanks to innovative policies like the Competition Act that increased wholesale and retail competition to promote efficiency and end monopolies, Pennsylvania’s electricity rates, allowing for inflation, are 5 percent lower than the national average and have remained relatively stable.
Go back and read that again. Pennsylvania’s flat electricity rates, according to the state’s leading foundation-funded environmental organization, are attributable to “increased wholesale and retail competition.” But back on the Spaceship Earth that PennFuture says it wants to save, Pennsylvania electricity rates stayed low because of the rate caps which are now expiring.
Later in the same report, PennFuture cites still-low or even decreasing rates in some of the areas where the rate caps are already expired, including the Duquesne Light service area. But they make no mention of the real reasons for this: the atrocious economy and the plummeting price of natural gas, owing to widespread Marcellus Shale drilling. We scarcely need to note the reasons why acknowledging these realities might not look so good on PennFuture’s next grant application.
Incidentally, no environmentalist should be proud of another predictable byproduct of electricity deregulation, which was the steep reduction in revenues under the Public Utility Realty Tax Act (PURTA). The power generation facilities formerly paid into a fund in lieu of property taxes, a large portion of which went to fund mass transit in the state. After deregulation, the power generation facilities were no longer considered public utilities, and PURTA revenues declined by about 70%. This hit to public transit alone must be ultimately responsible for more environmental damage than could ever be made up for by any dubious “benefits” from utilities deregulation.
Elsewhere, PennFuture and other deregulation apologists try to have it both ways on the effect of rate caps. First, they say, the rate caps should expire because they keep the price of energy “artificially” low. (You have to love how social processes become uncontrollable forces of nature in the favored language of people like this; perhaps this is because it is the only part of the “natural” world that “market environmentalism” has had much success defending?) Once the overbearing government regulators stop with all of their artificial price controls, competitors of the previously-incumbent monopolies will now rush in to Pennsylvania because they see an opportunity to make money in the deregulated market. Then this competitive process will bring down electricity rates, “naturally”!
See the logic there? The government is keeping competitors out of the market because it won’t let them charge higher prices, so when they’re allowed to charge higher prices, they will come in and create competition, which will in turn lead to lower prices.
You might think that this is harebrained. And you would be right. But that’s just a sign that you’re an old-fashioned big-government ideologue, stuck in the past. Because it doesn’t work for the government to just cap the rates. Only a Rube Goldberg contraption we call “market forces” really works to bring down prices. Why? Because market solutions are the only thing that works. And why is that? Because, that’s why.
I scarcely exaggerate. Is there a way out, short of the socialist revolution that I favor and you probably do not (yet)? Or even short of straight-out state takeover/nationalization of power systems, which is already short of socialist revolution (no matter what Glenn Beck would think)?
Bud George proposes one solution to the price problem, which is to create a state agency analogous to the “public option” that surfaced and was killed in the nationwide fight over health care this year. Since maintaining the rate caps is no longer possible, George proposes a Commonwealth Energy Procurement and Development Agency, which would be responsible for buying wholesale power from multiple sources as part of a portfolio (in the way that the rural cooperatives already do, incidentally), and then presenting itself as an option for consumers. In other words, taking the claim for the superiority of “competition” seriously, and offering a public option in that competitive marketplace. Unsurprisingly, the vested interests in electric power generation will not take kindly to real competition in this market, and will seek to block it. In the new fully Republican state government, they will almost certainly succeed.
Bud George’s proposal would be a good first step in addressing the issue of utility company profiteering, and for any genuine environmental movement, it would be the first step toward a sustainable energy future. But this is not the direction that the foundation-funded wonks want green organizations to follow. Why is this?
The establishment environmental organizations threw in their lot with the deregulation crew 15 years ago, in the hopes that an eventual spike in energy prices would cause people to reduce energy consumption — a piece of “market” conventional wisdom every bit as ludicrous as the right-wing fad for health savings accounts as the solution to the health care cost crisis. (Though unfortunately this is a fad that has not abated.) The establishment environmental groups also believed that they could use “competition” to foster a “market” for renewable energy sources. Both of these notions betray a fundamental misunderstanding of the way the world works and a warped idea of the responsibilities of social movement organizations (and environmentalism must be a social movement, or it is nothing).
In the real world, vested interests like the utility companies will only change their habits if they are forced to do so, and the government needs to make them do it. And if the government will not act, the people need to stand up and demand that they act. We need to demand that the government force the utility companies to invest in power generation from renewable resources, and threaten to take them over if they do not. This may seem difficult to pull off; indeed, it is very difficult to pull off, with the right wing in positions of elected power, with social movement organizations in retreat, and with the population atomized, isolated, and politically unaware or demoralized. Overcoming these political difficulties will take real commitment, and the kind of organizing that is required will not likely be funded by the foundations. Yet it is the only kind of work that has ever achieved any kind of social change, and despite its difficulties, it is easier to get enough people together to effectively make demands on the government, than it is to pull together enough consumer demand among atomized consumers to produce a “market” incentive for the power companies to invest in renewables.
In the final analysis, there is still no substitute for mass struggle, and that struggle is a political one. To paraphrase another wise man, the power companies concede nothing without a demand. They never have and they never will.
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